It looks like you're using an Ad Blocker.
Please white-list or disable AboveTopSecret.com in your ad-blocking tool.
Thank you.
Some features of ATS will be disabled while you continue to use an ad-blocker.
originally posted by: oikos
a reply to: Degradation33
The problem is, in a real roulette wheel each spin has the same probability of landing on any particular number as the previous spin, and the next spin (outside things like environmental variables or interference) so although the results will tend to make a nice distribution, an outlier condition is still nevertheless not preventable. You would need deep pockets and a long timeline.
It has to happen. You just hope you make that much before the inevitable 4 times in a row so it doesn't hit that hard. That or increase it to 625. In the end it looks you'd need a lot of money to pull this off.
2/12/2021 7 3 3 - - - $160
1/2/2021 7 3 3 - - - $160
3/8/2019 3 7 3 - - - $160
8/1/2022 - - - 6 1 1 $160
7/16/2022 - - - 1 1 6 $160
7/6/2022 1 1 6 - - - $160
5/21/2022 6 1 1 - - - $160
11/8/2021 - - - 1 1 6 $160
10/30/2021 6 1 1 - - - $160
10/27/2021 - - - 6 1 1 $160
6/26/2021 - - - 1 1 6 $160
3/20/2021 1 6 1 - - - $160
2/24/2021 1 6 1 - - - $160
1/29/2021 1 1 6 - - - $160
10/5/2020 6 1 1 - - - $160
1/22/2020 6 1 1 - - - $160
12/19/2019 1 1 6 - - - $160
11/21/2019 - - - 1 6 1 $160
originally posted by: Saloon
a reply to: Degradation33
My question is, how many times do you think you'll get away with doing this in a real casino?
OP How is it that you would be "Getting away" with anything?
Aren't you making a legal bet everytime?
What am I missing?
originally posted by: Degradation33
This is something I've repeated in testing at least 20 times.
That would be my guess too.
Though I'm guessing it may be an anomaly I made it 20 times without busting out.
This isn't exactly counting. But it does tread into similar statistical territory. If anything it's playing to the belief you won't lose two or three times in a row. And If you do, it's unlikely to bust you out.
The guys who were betting on red probably thought they couldn't possibly lose 15 times in a row and probably never dreamed they could lose 26 times in a row.
The opposite superstition is to bet that a streak has to end, in the false belief that independent events of chance must somehow even out. This is known as the gambler's fallacy, and achieved notoriety at the Casino de Monte-Carlo on 18 August 1913. The ball fell on black 26 times in a row, and as the streak lengthened gamblers lost millions betting on red, believing that the chances changed with the length of the run of blacks.
originally posted by: Degradation33
...a few more times knowing the odds in aggregate favor you most of the time.
originally posted by: myselfaswell
originally posted by: Saloon
a reply to: myselfaswell
I can't even begin to imagine the alarm bells you'd set off in Vegas, as well as the risk of getting measured up for a pair of size 25 concrete boots.
I thought winning was okay? Is this cheating some how?
I would imagine that if you can consistently beat the house, you're cheating as far as they're concerned.